Scenario Planning

BAU vs Mitigation

Compare business-as-usual SF6 stock growth against mitigation pathways with SF6-free procurement.

Kenya scenario comparison

Based on CTCN-SF6-KEN inventory + KETRACO grid expansion plan.

estimated uncertainty

MetricBAU 2025BAU 2035Mitigation 2035Avoided
Installed SF6 (kg)20,04535,04522,00013,045
Annual leakage (kg)701.5751,226.575440786.575
Grid km9,484~20,000~20,000
CO2eq (t/yr)4,715~8,240~2,960~5,280

Senegal scenarios

Placeholder until Senelec inventory data collection is complete.

Senegal scenario modeling will begin once baseline inventory data is collected from Senelec. Reported and modeled values must remain separated.

All scenario outputs

Scenario planning data from sf_tracker.

Senegal · BAU 2035 · 2035
Installed SF6: — kg · Leakage: — kg
Grid km: — · Avoided leakage: — kg
Kenya · Mitigation 2035 · 2035
Installed SF6: 22000 kg · Leakage: 440 kg
Grid km: 20000 · Avoided leakage: 786.575 kg
Senegal · Mitigation 2035 · 2035
Installed SF6: — kg · Leakage: — kg
Grid km: — · Avoided leakage: — kg
Kenya · BAU 2035 · 2035
Installed SF6: 35045 kg · Leakage: 1226.575 kg
Grid km: 20000 · Avoided leakage: 0 kg